The Gaza withdrawal and Israel's next move
Having spent decades under fire from Hamas mortar shells and gunfire, the final destruction of the settlements in Gaza comes at the hands of the same people who guarded them for so long. Armour-plated D9 bulldozers, so used to tearing up Palestinian towns in often fruitless terrorist hunts, are standing by in Gush Katif and elsewhere, ready to rub out the final vestiges of this ultimately untenable 38-year occupation. For the settlers, many of them veterans of the euphoric rush that followed the success in the 1967 war, this cannot be how they expected things to end.
With the dismantling of the Gaza settlements, the dream of ‘Greater Israel’ dies. While the pictures of tearful settlers being forcefully evicted may well evoke sadness, their own raison d’etre for continuing the illegal occupation inspires nothing but scorn. According to their strict beliefs, Israel’s destiny is the complete control of the area between the Jordan and the Mediterranean. In this imagined country, Jews would dominate entirely, with Palestinians working as a lower, servile class, while a rabbinical order would effectively run the country. The Knesset, or Israeli parliament, would exist largely to rubber-stamp the religious proclamations. Only then would the redemption of the Jews be complete, and the Messiah return to Earth. Anybody coming from a rational mindset will find it hard to empathise over such obvious nonsense.
Ariel Sharon is a man who, despite his secular views, has long known how to utilise the fervour of the Israeli right, moulding their religious passion into realisable geopolitical goals. As one of the key architects of settlement expansion, his 2003 decision to withdraw unilaterally from Gaza and parts of the West Bank was greeted with a timorous rage from the Israeli right, even while it was scorned by the Palestinians and much of the Israeli left as an empty gesture that would never come to fruition. Yet it has happened, and – despite the best efforts of the settlers, plus thousands of supporters from across the country and around the world – the actual disengagement proceeded in a surprisingly easy manner. Already, the time has come to try and see what exactly Ariel Sharon is planning for the future.
A recent article in the New Statesman by Lindsey Hilsum detailed the planned extensions to settlements in the West Bank around the Palestinian areas of Jerusalem. According to Hilsum, the idea is to create a ring around the city, in the form of what are euphemistically termed ‘facts on the ground’ – newly established communities that, with the Gaza pullout so fresh in mind, will be seen as permanent bases. The new settlements almost bisect the West Bank, further imperilling the future possibility of a viable Palestinian state. Although this activity explicitly contradicts the terms of the multilaterally agreed ‘road map’ for peace drawn up in 2003, it is unlikely that the Israeli government will be censured.
Concurrent with this, the ‘security’ wall (which will likely provide anything but) continues to be erected, with its planned completion estimated at some time in 2006. The effect of these of encroachments into Palestinian territory – which stray far over the pre-1967 green line – will be to further isolate the Palestinians who live there. Already, lives and livelihoods are being destroyed by the wall, which often cuts right through Palestinian towns, rendering what was a twenty minute walk to work into a several-hour-long endurance test through an Israeli checkpoint. Under the auspices of ‘security’, the wall’s true, racist agenda – to keep a Jewish majority in Israel, and delay the ‘demographic time bomb’ that will see the Arab population outstrip the Jewish one – is never mentioned.
The problem for the Palestinians now is that they have been left with the same paradigmatic aim as before, but one whose realisation is ever more jeapordised by Israel’s go-it-alone stance. The scenes in Gaza, of IDF forces advancing on settlers who throw rocks and call them Nazis, were captured on camera for a worldwide audience. Seeing such trauma, how can the world expect Israel to disengage from the far larger settlements in the West Bank – let alone even consider the idea of a Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem? For the Palestinians, however, nothing has changed: these are still, rightfully, the demands that must be agreed if a viable peace is to be reached.
For now, they will have to bide their time and see what happens in Israel before knowing where to turn next. It remains to be seen whether Hamas will continue with the ceasefire that they have admirably held during the pullout; for mortar shells to rain down on Israel from newly re-taken positions in the former settlements will be proof that the Israelis truly have no partner for peace. For the future, much will depend on how civil society in Israel leans after the next election. If Binyamin Netanyahu, who quit the government in protest at the Gaza withdrawal, mounts a successful challenge to Ariel Sharon’s leadership, then the Palestinians can expect little more concessions. With Sharon, as the NS article shows, the future is murky to say the least. The new West Bank settlements may indicate his intentions but, as Gaza shows, even facts on the ground can be altered; and the fact that the man who was long regarded as the patron of the settler movement can be the one who orders their destruction shows how little can be taken for granted as Palestine and Israel fumble in the dark for an ever-elusive peace.
With the dismantling of the Gaza settlements, the dream of ‘Greater Israel’ dies. While the pictures of tearful settlers being forcefully evicted may well evoke sadness, their own raison d’etre for continuing the illegal occupation inspires nothing but scorn. According to their strict beliefs, Israel’s destiny is the complete control of the area between the Jordan and the Mediterranean. In this imagined country, Jews would dominate entirely, with Palestinians working as a lower, servile class, while a rabbinical order would effectively run the country. The Knesset, or Israeli parliament, would exist largely to rubber-stamp the religious proclamations. Only then would the redemption of the Jews be complete, and the Messiah return to Earth. Anybody coming from a rational mindset will find it hard to empathise over such obvious nonsense.
Ariel Sharon is a man who, despite his secular views, has long known how to utilise the fervour of the Israeli right, moulding their religious passion into realisable geopolitical goals. As one of the key architects of settlement expansion, his 2003 decision to withdraw unilaterally from Gaza and parts of the West Bank was greeted with a timorous rage from the Israeli right, even while it was scorned by the Palestinians and much of the Israeli left as an empty gesture that would never come to fruition. Yet it has happened, and – despite the best efforts of the settlers, plus thousands of supporters from across the country and around the world – the actual disengagement proceeded in a surprisingly easy manner. Already, the time has come to try and see what exactly Ariel Sharon is planning for the future.
A recent article in the New Statesman by Lindsey Hilsum detailed the planned extensions to settlements in the West Bank around the Palestinian areas of Jerusalem. According to Hilsum, the idea is to create a ring around the city, in the form of what are euphemistically termed ‘facts on the ground’ – newly established communities that, with the Gaza pullout so fresh in mind, will be seen as permanent bases. The new settlements almost bisect the West Bank, further imperilling the future possibility of a viable Palestinian state. Although this activity explicitly contradicts the terms of the multilaterally agreed ‘road map’ for peace drawn up in 2003, it is unlikely that the Israeli government will be censured.
Concurrent with this, the ‘security’ wall (which will likely provide anything but) continues to be erected, with its planned completion estimated at some time in 2006. The effect of these of encroachments into Palestinian territory – which stray far over the pre-1967 green line – will be to further isolate the Palestinians who live there. Already, lives and livelihoods are being destroyed by the wall, which often cuts right through Palestinian towns, rendering what was a twenty minute walk to work into a several-hour-long endurance test through an Israeli checkpoint. Under the auspices of ‘security’, the wall’s true, racist agenda – to keep a Jewish majority in Israel, and delay the ‘demographic time bomb’ that will see the Arab population outstrip the Jewish one – is never mentioned.
The problem for the Palestinians now is that they have been left with the same paradigmatic aim as before, but one whose realisation is ever more jeapordised by Israel’s go-it-alone stance. The scenes in Gaza, of IDF forces advancing on settlers who throw rocks and call them Nazis, were captured on camera for a worldwide audience. Seeing such trauma, how can the world expect Israel to disengage from the far larger settlements in the West Bank – let alone even consider the idea of a Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem? For the Palestinians, however, nothing has changed: these are still, rightfully, the demands that must be agreed if a viable peace is to be reached.
For now, they will have to bide their time and see what happens in Israel before knowing where to turn next. It remains to be seen whether Hamas will continue with the ceasefire that they have admirably held during the pullout; for mortar shells to rain down on Israel from newly re-taken positions in the former settlements will be proof that the Israelis truly have no partner for peace. For the future, much will depend on how civil society in Israel leans after the next election. If Binyamin Netanyahu, who quit the government in protest at the Gaza withdrawal, mounts a successful challenge to Ariel Sharon’s leadership, then the Palestinians can expect little more concessions. With Sharon, as the NS article shows, the future is murky to say the least. The new West Bank settlements may indicate his intentions but, as Gaza shows, even facts on the ground can be altered; and the fact that the man who was long regarded as the patron of the settler movement can be the one who orders their destruction shows how little can be taken for granted as Palestine and Israel fumble in the dark for an ever-elusive peace.